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Silver Crosses ₹2 Lakh/kg for First Time; Gold Hits Record High: What Next?
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Silver Crosses ₹2 Lakh/kg for First Time; Gold Hits Record High: What Next?

Dec 12, 2025 5 min read

Friday, December 12, 2025, will go down in history as a watershed moment for the Indian bullion market. For the first time ever, Silver shattered the psychological ceiling of ₹2 Lakh per kilogram, while Gold continued its relentless rally to scale a fresh all-time high.

The sheer speed of this rally has stunned analysts. Just a year ago, silver was trading near ₹90,000. This 100%+ rally in a short span has outperformed equities, real estate, and crypto. But as prices enter uncharted territory, retail investors are asking: Is this a bubble, or the beginning of a commodity supercycle?

🏆 The Record-Breaking Numbers

  • Silver (MCX): Crossed ₹2,00,000 / kg
  • Gold (MCX): Hit new Lifetime High (tracking global spot rates).
  • Trigger: Weak Rupee (₹90/$), Industrial Demand, and Safe Haven buying.

1. Why is Silver on Fire? (The "White Gold" Rush)

Silver is no longer just a "poor man's gold." It is an essential industrial metal. Three massive engines are driving this price explosion:

  • The Solar Boom: 2025 has seen record installation of solar panels globally. Silver is a key component in photovoltaic cells. With supply stagnant and demand doubling, a deficit was inevitable.
  • EV Revolution: Electric Vehicles use significantly more silver than petrol cars. As EV adoption hits critical mass in China and Europe, industrial hoarding has begun.
  • The Rupee Factor: As we analyzed earlier, the Rupee has crashed to ₹90 against the Dollar. Since India imports almost all its silver, a weaker Rupee automatically makes domestic prices skyrocket.

2. Gold: The Silent Performer

While Silver stole the headlines, Gold quietly created history too. Central banks (especially China and Russia) are buying gold at a record pace to diversify away from the US Dollar. In uncertain times, Gold remains the ultimate hedge against inflation and currency devaluation.

3. Expert Verdict: What Happens Next?

Can Silver go to ₹2.5 Lakh? Analysts are divided.

📈 The Bull Case

Industrial Demand is Sticky: You can stop buying jewelry, but you can't stop building solar panels. Analysts at major brokerages predict Silver could touch ₹2.25 Lakh by mid-2026 due to the chronic supply deficit.

📉 The Bear Case

Profit Booking Risk: A vertical rally often invites a sharp correction. If the Rupee strengthens slightly or global tensions ease, we could see a rapid 10-15% drop in prices.

Final Strategy: Should You Buy Now?

Buying at an all-time high is psychologically difficult, but waiting might mean missing the bus entirely.

🛡️ MoneyDock Action Plan

  • Don't Buy Physical Silver Now: Buying bars/coins at ₹2 Lakh involves high "making charges" and GST. You will lose 15-20% value instantly.
  • Use Silver ETFs: If you want to ride the wave, invest in Silver ETFs or Silver BeES on the stock market. They are liquid and cost-efficient.
  • Wait for Dips: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggests the market is "Overbought." A correction to ₹1.85 Lakh levels would be a safer entry point.

Disclaimer: Commodities are highly volatile. Please consult a registered investment advisor before trading.

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